The teams that were the worst against winning teams compared to their record actually performed the best. They were expected to win only 0.84 playoff games on average (there is of course a tendency for these teams to be worse seeds), but averaged 1.00 wins. Based on this, I would say there is no evidence to suggest you should favor Baltimore in the playoffs based solely on the fact that they did well against winning teams while the Patriots have no wins.
An Independent Patriots Blog
