PatsPropaganda

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New England Patriots Final DVOA Chart (note – defensive DVOA flipped for charting purposes)

Football Outsiders came out with their final season rankings today and as you can see above we can now fully evaluate the 2010 regular season.

I think if you could have it any way you’d probably want your team’s chart to look like the Patriots does. Clearly they were getting better on offense and defense, and to some extent special teams as they finished the season.

Some other Patriots related items to pass along:

New England ends the year as the second-best team in DVOA history. They have the highest weighted DVOA we’ve ever measured, and the highest offensive DVOA we’ve ever measured. Their weighted DVOA seriously laps the field, over ten percentage points higher than any other team.

The Patriots’ record-setting offense does not set a record for passing DVOA. That record still belongs to the 2007 Patriots. But this team was much better on the ground, finishing with the seventh-highest rushing DVOA ever. Yet they weren’t the most efficient running team this season. The Philadelphia Eagles end up with the third-highest rushing DVOA ever. Obviously, a lot of that is Michael Vick, but LeSean McCoy was also excellent this season, 18.0% DVOA (fourth among qualifying backs).

Tom Brady ends the year with the fifth-highest passing DYAR in NFL history (2,141 DYAR) and the fourth-highest DVOA for a quarterback with more than 100 passes (53.4%). The top six DYAR seasons all belong to Brady (2007, 2009, and 2010) and Peyton Manning (2004, 2006, and 2009). Boomer Esiason’s ridiculous 1997 actually sneaks into the Brady-Manning stratosphere for top DVOA seasons. Manning finishes second this year with 1,674 DYAR, a total that was topped by six different quarterbacks a year ago.

https://www.patspropaganda.com/new-england-patriots-final-dvoa-chart-note/

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New England Patriots Final DVOA Chart (note – defensive DVOA flipped for charting purposes)

Football Outsiders came out with their final season rankings today and as you can see above we can now fully evaluate the 2010 regular season.

I think if you could have it any way you’d probably want your team’s chart to look like the Patriots does. Clearly they were getting better on offense and defense, and to some extent special teams as they finished the season.

Some other Patriots related items to pass along:

New England ends the year as the second-best team in DVOA history. They have the highest weighted DVOA we’ve ever measured, and the highest offensive DVOA we’ve ever measured. Their weighted DVOA seriously laps the field, over ten percentage points higher than any other team.

The Patriots’ record-setting offense does not set a record for passing DVOA. That record still belongs to the 2007 Patriots. But this team was much better on the ground, finishing with the seventh-highest rushing DVOA ever. Yet they weren’t the most efficient running team this season. The Philadelphia Eagles end up with the third-highest rushing DVOA ever. Obviously, a lot of that is Michael Vick, but LeSean McCoy was also excellent this season, 18.0% DVOA (fourth among qualifying backs).

Tom Brady ends the year with the fifth-highest passing DYAR in NFL history (2,141 DYAR) and the fourth-highest DVOA for a quarterback with more than 100 passes (53.4%). The top six DYAR seasons all belong to Brady (2007, 2009, and 2010) and Peyton Manning (2004, 2006, and 2009). Boomer Esiason’s ridiculous 1997 actually sneaks into the Brady-Manning stratosphere for top DVOA seasons. Manning finishes second this year with 1,674 DYAR, a total that was topped by six different quarterbacks a year ago.

https://www.patspropaganda.com/new-england-patriots-final-dvoa-chart-note-2/

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Patriots Football Outsiders DVOA Chart Updated

Both the defensive and offense continue to improve, this is exactly how you want to be trending as you head toward the playoffs. However Special Teams haven’t been anything special as of late, it would be a huge boost to see one of the returners bust one for six (that isn’t called back). Had Edelman’s punt return stood it would’ve been exactly what we’re talking about. 

https://www.patspropaganda.com/patriots-football-outsiders-dvoa-chart-updated/

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Updated Patriots DVOA Chart. (note – defense is inverted to better show trend)

The offense continues to, in the words of John Harbaugh, “bury teams”. The defense finally starting to show some improvement, while the Special Teams remain solid but unspectacular.

One thing that Football Outsiders points out, and it’s something we’ve harped on recently, is that it is kind of cliche to say the young defense keeps on improving every week. It’s just an assumption that isn’t really true. Of course if you’ve been following the DVOA charts I post every week then you already knew that. Here’s what FO said:

One of the popular beliefs on Boston talk radio is that the Patriots’ young defense is improving with experience. They are, but not by a substantial amount. In Weeks 1-9, the Patriots were 27th in the NFL with 16.2% defensive DVOA. In Weeks 10-13, they are 16th in the NFL with 11.0% defensive DVOA. We’ve had four very offense-filled weeks of football, so the Patriots’ rank in the league is much better over the past month, but the defense itself is only slightly improved.

https://www.patspropaganda.com/updated-patriots-dvoa-chart-note-defense-is/

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Here’s this week’s updated DVOA graph (note – defensive DVOA is flipped to make it easier to read, technically negative defensive DVOA is good).

What can we determine? The Pats offense is elite, no question about it. Per the earlier post this current Pats offense is second only to the 2007 Pats offense. Sorry Randy.

Defensively it looks like the Pats might be stabilizing. Would love to see their best performance of the season against the Lions. It could be just what they need to kickstart the stretch run, but it won’t be easy. The Lions will come out throwing to test the Patriots poor pass defense.

Special Teams have leveled off after a hot start. They’re a little above average, perhaps Pierre Woods was brought back to give them a spark.

https://www.patspropaganda.com/heres-this-weeks-updated-dvoa-graph-note/

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Patriots DVOA Chart (thru week 10)

The offense had a great week, but the defense was clearly hurt by the 4th quarter prevent defense. Special Teams continues a slow decline, could have a break out versus the Colts.

See the full rankings here.

(Mike D’s note: I flipped the defensive DVOA to positive to make it a little easier to read.)

https://www.patspropaganda.com/patriots-dvoa-chart-thru-week-10-the-offense/