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Patriots at Titans preview (by CBSSports)
An Independent Patriots Blog
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MOVXyrpjZC0
Patriots at Titans preview (by CBSSports)
In case you missed any of our notable stuff from the past week since everything seems to get buried pretty quick here on the Prop.
5 Keys for Patriots vs. Titans
Titans will go to the air against Patriots
Why are the Patriots stockpiling tight ends?
Win an Authentic Patriots Mini-Helmet from GamedayGoods.com!
Football is back this weekend, and while there are still many unknowns about the Pats and Titans we’re going to take a crack at some of the key places where the game will likely be won or lost for our beloved Patriots.
1. Stop Chris Johnson – You probably saw this one coming, didn’t you? There’s no secret Johnson remains the top weapon on the Titan offense, and the critical piece that the Pats must stop. The good news is that the Patriots defense has generally been pretty good against the run in recent years, but they’ll be put to the test if the continue with the base defense having Rob Ninkovich and Chandler Jones as their defensive ends. Part of me wonders if they might swap out one of those two for Brandon Deaderick to get some more beef up front. Perhaps even more interesting will be to see how the Pats deal with Johnson when the Titans split Johnson out wide. I’d expect Jerod Mayo to be on him but you can’t rule out Patrick Chung.
2. Protect Brady – If the Pats just protected Brady every week they’d win close to 90% of their games, but now with some turnover along the line it’s no longer a given that the protection will be solid. Kamerion Wimbley should pose a significant challenge to the Patriots tackles, but the real question is how the middle of the line holds up with a still-recovering Logan Mankins, new starting center Ryan Wendell and Dan Connolly sliding to right guard after spending last season at center. We’ve seen so many different combinations along the line this preseason no one even knows for sure who will be where, nor if they’ll even be there for the entire game. If this group can’t keep Brady clean things could get really interesting, and I don’t like when that happens.
3. Eliminate Bad Football – Opening games almost always have an element of fluke to them. The timing isn’t quite there, nor is the game conditioning quite where it needs to be, thus it often results in sloppy football in general. If the Patriots can just keep the turnovers and penalties to a minimum they’ll have a very good chance to win the game. That’s easier said than done, especially on the road. At least it sounds like the heat won’t be a major factor with forecasts projecting mid-70s. The Pats don’t need to be dominating, they just need to play methodically and clean and the rest should take care of itself.
4. Force continued execution by Jake Locker – I’m really expecting the Titans to throw the ball early and often regardless of how Johnson is doing. We’ve all seen the Pats pass defense over the past few years, and until they prove otherwise the Titans should take everything the bend-don’t-break gives them. Against a first-time starter like Locker I’m actually okay with this tactic of focusing on not giving up the big play, and force him to put together 10-play-plus drives. As we noted in number three execution isn’t always razor sharp in opening games, so let’s put the Titans offensive execution to the test.
5. Win – Ultimately this is the only thing that matters. Opening a season with a quality road win would really get the 2012 campaign off on the right foot. I don’t care about style points, and I don’t care that no one is going to be overly impressed that we beat the Titans. A win is a win, and it will mean a one game lead already over the Jets or Bills.
With a second-year quarterback making his first start and a missing top receiving target it might be easy to see only Chris Johnson when scouting the Titans offense. Especially after Bill Belichick lays the praise on him like he did today:
“His production speaks for itself. He’s really an outstanding player with the ball in his hands. In the passing game, in the running game, inside runs, outside runs, draws, screens. Everybody is at the point of attack because he has the speed to start one way and go the other, to get back to the cut back, backside of the defense or bounce out in either direction. Really everybody is at the point of the attack when he has the ball.
The Patriots might be tempted to write off the Titans aerial attack and focus on Johnson, but our research over at FootballOutsiders.com tells us they should be prepared to have the ball thrown on them early and often.
Over the past three seasons the Titans have gone from 27th (2009) to 6th (2011) in offensive formations featuring three-plus wide receivers. Even with Kenny Britt out for this weekend, it would be foolish to ignore this statistic, especially considering the amount of yardage the Patriots gave up through the air in 2011.
The first game of the season always presents a great deal of unknowns. Teams have shown little in the preseason of their actual schematic plans for the regular season. The Patriots defense showed a fairly straight-forward defense that featured more of a nickel front with two large space eaters inside at the tackle positions. That will change. Expect Vince Wilfork to align somewhere over the middle of the Titans offensive line, a spot where Tennessee struggled last year and re-built in the off-season by bringing in a still solid Steve Hutchinson.
Johnson will get plenty of touches, but expect the Titans to move him around as they really started to do in 2011 when they had him split out wide 41 times compared to just 3 times in 2010.
Jake Locker lacks experience, but there have been plenty of green quarterbacks who have moved the ball against New England in recent seasons. Look for the Titans to use a lot of three-receiver sets featuring Nate Washington, Damian Williams and Kendall Wright, and try to exploit the Pats traditional bend-don’t-break style with a lot of quick passes.
A big part of their game plan should be to get the ball to Chris Johnson in space rather than sending him up the middle into the teeth of the Pats defense where Wilfork and Brandon Spikes will be waiting. A huge key to the game will be the pass coverage on Johnson, most likely by Jerod Mayo, who now seems like the only linebacker on the Pats roster with the speed to have a chance covering backs.
The way to beat the Patriots has never been ground and pound (hello Jets?), and with a full off-season to prepare it’s doubtful that the Titans will suddenly return to their Jeff Fisher-esque ways of running the ball nearly 50% of the time. The trajectory for what the Munchak Titans want to do is clear, and the Pats pass rushers and secondary better be prepared.
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‘>See the Pats in Tennesse for under $100/ticket! Tennessee Titans vs. New England Patriots @ LP Field on Sunday, Sep 9, 2012 – 12:00 PM
Advanced NFL Stats: Pats vs. Browns Game Graph Here is the visual representation of a beatdown.